{"id":7819,"date":"2021-01-27T10:00:35","date_gmt":"2021-01-27T04:30:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/?p=7819"},"modified":"2025-10-21T16:25:38","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T10:55:38","slug":"bombay-stock-exchange-or-bombay-real-estate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/2021\/01\/27\/bombay-stock-exchange-or-bombay-real-estate\/","title":{"rendered":"Bombay Stock Exchange or Bombay Real Estate?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Sensex recently hit 50,000. The index of the thirty biggest Indian companies by market capitalization listed in Bombay Stock Exchange has appreciated 50X in the last 30 years: From <strong>1,000 on 27 July 1990<\/strong> to <strong>50,000 on 21 January 2021<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>The only other asset class that comes to mind with similar &#8211; or even higher &#8211; multiple than 50X is Bombay Real Estate.<\/p>\n<p>So I asked myself, which was the better investment between <strong><em>Bombay Stock Exchange<\/em><\/strong> and <em><strong>Bombay Real Estate<\/strong><\/em> in the last 30 years? This blog post is the result.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"width: 70%;\" \/>\n<p>Given below is a comparison of returns from Sensex with those from a few Bombay Real Estate transactions I&#8217;ve heard about in the last 30 years or more:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/bse-bre-cagr-table-3.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-13849\" src=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/bse-bre-cagr-table-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"630\" height=\"125\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/bse-bre-cagr-table-3.jpg 712w, https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/bse-bre-cagr-table-3-500x99.jpg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>*: Cf. online calculator at <a title=\"Permanent Link to CAGR Formula &amp; Table\" href=\"https:\/\/sketharaman.com\/blog\/cagr-formula-table\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"bookmark noopener noreferrer\">CAGR Formula &amp; Table<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As you can see from the above table, the annualized returns of Sensex during the 30 year period is 13.68%.<\/p>\n<p>Bombay Real Estate A1 has beaten it. A2 and A3 have come close to it. A4 has trailed it by a mile. (JFYI, the 10 year CAGR of Bitcoin is 167%, click <a href=\"https:\/\/casebitcoin.com\/charts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>here<\/strong><\/a> for more.)<\/p>\n<hr style=\"width: 70%;\" \/>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/SENSEX-50K-01.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright wp-image-7830 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/SENSEX-50K-01-200x178.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"200\" height=\"178\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/SENSEX-50K-01-200x178.jpg 200w, https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/SENSEX-50K-01-768x683.jpg 768w, https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/SENSEX-50K-01.jpg 872w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/a>To me, the most striking difference between <em>Bombay Real Estate<\/em> and <em>Bombay Stock Exchange<\/em> is that, you could get similar returns by investing in any random property in Bombay whereas you couldn&#8217;t realize the 13.68% annualized return by investing in Sensex.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s because <em><strong>you couldn&#8217;t invest in Sensex<\/strong><\/em> in the first place.<\/p>\n<p>While the layperson thinks that Sensex is representative of the overall equity asset class, it&#8217;s not. Nor is it some scrip that you can go out and buy.<\/p>\n<p>Sensex is an index comprising a basket of 30 scrips <em>where the scrips keep changing all the time<\/em>. As testimony, only five out of the 30 stocks in Sensex in 1990 are there in it today.<\/p>\n<p>(As an aside, in case anyone still has any doubts, Sensex is most certainly not representative of the overall economy.)<\/p>\n<p>As I highlighted in <a title=\"Permanent Link to Equity Always Underperforms Fixed Deposits\" href=\"https:\/\/sketharaman.com\/blog\/2012\/06\/01\/equity-always-underperforms-fixed-deposits\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"bookmark noopener noreferrer\">Equity Always Underperforms Fixed Deposits<\/a>, stock picking and timing decide equity alpha. Without the right combination of these two factors, your stock portfolio may well have trailed Fixed Deposits, let alone Bombay Real Estate.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/sensex-50k-fd-fi.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-7833 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/sensex-50k-fd-fi.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"630\" height=\"280\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/sensex-50k-fd-fi.jpg 630w, https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/sensex-50k-fd-fi-200x89.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Ergo <em>Bombay Real Estate<\/em> is a more homogeneous asset class compared to <em>Bombay Stock Exchange<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Not surprisingly, many of us have heard about people who have actually gained the aforementioned kind of appreciation in Bombay Real Estate but I strongly doubt if any of us has heard of anyone who plonked in INR 1,000 in Sensex in 1990 and took out INR 50,000 last week (I haven&#8217;t).<\/p>\n<hr style=\"width: 70%;\" \/>\n<p>Stock market punters might point to ETFs to counter my contention that Bombay Stock Exchange is not as homogeneous as Bombay Real Estate. For the uninitiated, ETF is a low-cost, passive Exchange Traded Fund that tracks the index. If a stock enters the Sensex, the ETF buys it. If a stock leaves the Sensex, the ETF sells it. Period.<\/p>\n<p>While they&#8217;re not wrong, I&#8217;d like to temper their counterview with my experience of investing in ETFs:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>It&#8217;s not easy to find a pure ETF because most ETFs in India are <em>Equity Traded Funds<\/em> that are weighted towards specific sectors.<\/li>\n<li>ETF offers very little &#8211; or no? &#8211; commission, so it&#8217;s difficult to find a brokerage house that is interested in your ETF business. I reached out to three different brokerages when I wanted to invest in ETFs. Not one reverted back. When I followed up with them, all three of them tried to talk me out of ETFs.<\/li>\n<li>I then found out that I could buy and sell ETFs on online brokerages like ICICIdirect.com. I went ahead and bought a bunch of ETFs. When it came time to sell them, I discovered that my SELL order went unexecuted for two days in a row. It was only then that I learned that ETFs have low liquidity.<\/li>\n<li>By chance, while I was researching this post last week, I learned that some fund houses have launched ETF funds. While they have a higher expense ratio than pure ETFs, they provide greater liquidity. Shout out to my friend and fellow IIT Bombay alumni, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/santosh-madbhavi-954921\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Santosh Madbhavi<\/a>, for tipping me off about ETF funds and for contributing to this blog post in other ways.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Some others might say that very few people can afford to buy an apartment in Mumbai but that many people can afford to buy an ETF (which tracks Sensex) &#8211; or even a share of <em>Bajaj Finance<\/em> or <em>HDFC<\/em> or <em>Page Industries<\/em> (which have all beaten Sensex by a country mile). While that&#8217;s true,<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Fact is, retail equity penetration in India is still less than 5%.<\/li>\n<li>REIT enables fractional real estate ownership, so, many people can afford to buy a share in a Mumbai apartment &#8211; or office &#8211; now.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Still some others might assert that Bombay Stock Exchange is more liquid than Bombay Real Estate. I agree, but only if you buy stocks in the current DEMAT regime under which you&#8217;d receive your shares natively in DEMAT form. That was not the case 30 years ago, when shares existed only in the form of paper certificates.<\/p>\n<p>Many people who bought paper shares 30-40-50 years ago have not been able to convert them to DEMAT form. Those shares are effectively illiquid under the present &#8220;Compulsory DEMAT&#8221; regime in which stocks can be traded only in DEMAT form. Also see my above remark about poor liquidity of ETF.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"width: 70%;\" \/>\n<p>The average Bombay Real Estate investor has made gains that approach or exceed the annualized Sensex returns of 13.68%.<\/p>\n<p>But the average Bombay Stock Exchange investor has not made the annualized Sensex returns of 13.68%. Some stock-pickers have made Sensex-beating returns but other stock-pickers have not, so stock-pickers don&#8217;t qualify as the average Bombay Stock Exchange investor.<\/p>\n<p>The 13.68% CAGR is real when it comes to Bombay Real Estate. But it&#8217;s a mirage when it comes to Bombay Stock Exchange.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"width: 70%;\" \/>\n<p>The average Bombay Real Estate investor got better returns than the average Bombay Stock Exchange \/ Sensex investor in the past 30 years.<\/p>\n<p>I make no comments about the future since I&#8217;m not an accredited financial advisor and because &#8220;past performance is not a guarantee of future results&#8221; as they say in the financial services industry.<\/p>\n<p>While on the topic, here are a few comments and observations:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Bombay Real Estate&#8221; contrasts well with &#8220;Bombay Stock Exchange&#8221;. Besides, through a majority of the period in question, India&#8217;s commercial capital has gone by Bombay, with the rechristening to Mumbai having happened relatively recently. That&#8217;s why I&#8217;ve used <em>Bombay Real Estate<\/em> as the moniker for the island city&#8217;s real estate asset class.<\/p>\n<p>For those of you who are wondering why it&#8217;s not Mumbai Stock Exchange, organizations like Bombay Stock Exchange &#8211; and IIT Bombay and Bombay High Court, to name a few others &#8211; have &#8220;Bombay&#8221; in their incorporation certificates, so they can&#8217;t introduce Mumbai in their names that easily. That said, they do say Mumbai when they refer to their location e.g. Bombay Stock Exchange, Phiroze Jeejeebhoy Towers, Fort, Mumbai 400001; IIT Bombay, Powai, Mumbai 400076.<\/p>\n<p>Back in the day, as a Marketing Executive at a leading IT company, I used to sell truckloads of computers and software to Bombay Stock Exchange. I&#8217;d regularly visit BSE&#8217;s office housed in Phiroze Jeejeebhoy Towers in the Fort neighborhood of then-Bombay those days. There was a two week period when I&#8217;d actually camped in the so-called &#8220;S Floor&#8221; of PJ Towers, which is where BSE&#8217;s Computer Systems Department was located. One day, during that period, I actually met the inventor of SENSEX! Thanks to this unique good fortune, I have more than a casual attachment to Sensex. That&#8217;s saying something because, in those days, the average Bombayite&#8217;s mood in the evening would depend on where Sensex closed that day! That also explains why this post is silent about the other leading index of India&#8217;s equity market!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sensex recently hit 50,000. The index of the thirty biggest Indian companies by market capitalization listed in Bombay Stock Exchange has appreciated 50X in the last 30 years: From 1,000 on 27 July 1990 to 50,000 on 21 January 2021. The only other asset class that comes to mind with similar &#8211; or even higher &#8230; <a title=\"Bombay Stock Exchange or Bombay Real Estate?\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/2021\/01\/27\/bombay-stock-exchange-or-bombay-real-estate\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about Bombay Stock Exchange or Bombay Real Estate?\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":7833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7819","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mandatory-category"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7819","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7819"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7819\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13851,"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7819\/revisions\/13851"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7819"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7819"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gtm360.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7819"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}